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Fighting in Ethiopia and the Risk of Regional Spillover
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Fighting in Ethiopia and the Risk of Regional Spillover

🇪🇹 EthiopiaOct 21, 2026 17:40SRC: WAR ON THE ROCKSBY: William Davison

INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY

In September, fighting broke out in Ethiopia’s Tigray region between Ethiopian government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), effectively collapsing the 2022 peace deal. In October, Ethiopian forces recaptured an airport and towns from the TPLF and started moving closer to the border with Eritrea. The renewed conflict raised concerns about both increased instability within Ethiopia — particularly as the TPLF joined with several other armed groups under a new Alliance for Surv

DETAILED REPORT

In September, fighting broke out in Ethiopia’s Tigray region between Ethiopian government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), effectively collapsing the 2022 peace deal. In October, Ethiopian forces recaptured an airport and towns from the TPLF and started moving closer to the border with Eritrea. The renewed conflict raised concerns about both increased instability within Ethiopia — particularly as the TPLF joined with several other armed groups under a new Alliance for Survival — and the potential for a new war between Ethiopia and Eritrea. Ethiopia accused Eritrea of supporting the TPLF and sending its own forces across The post Fighting in Ethiopia and the Risk of Regional Spillover appeared first on War on the Rocks.
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